Having a little experience with casting I would say this will be minimal . I had my first mold cut for me at 1.690" . I took a guess on shrinkage and got lucky . Cast perfect 1.680" lead balls . Normal casting temp. for the mold is 350 degrees , since lead melts at 620 degrees and zinc melts at 740 , I don't think the difference will be that great . This is the reason for testing before marketing , I may be wrong . Ed