I can only offer my limited experience. But i can agree that i never got anywhere blowing out the bottleneck of a 9.3x74R case until i put some 'oomph' into the load: a projectile with some weight to it and a decent powder charge. Nothing super magnum, but not cornmeal and 10gr of Unique either.
Here is my experience with it:
http://www.gboreloaded.com/forums/index.php/topic,223383.0.html check on page 2 of the thread, posts #34 and 35 by me for the meat of the info. The beginning is my information gathering phase.
Bottom line: what worked finally to get 95% where i wanted was the 148gr projectile and then 200ish grains of shot over my powder charge: in other words, about 2/3 of the final projectile weight, with a powder charge light enough to make ~50% of the foot-pounds of the final load.
So, my conjecture, with a 30-06 Springfield to 30-06AI, using factory 30-06 ammo which is plenty powerful relative to most recommended fireforming loads (which are all very light in annealed brass) it should form your case in one shot, maybe 2.
C-