Conan,
You are correct. The things that will affect the market for a long time.
This is a simple supply and demand issue. We have a break in the chain.
1 Foreclosures-These people were potential move up buyers knocking out a large segment of future buyers
2 Short sales-These people were potential move up buyers that won't qualify for a new purchase for years
3 The banks have tightened up credit requirements and regulations for home purchases knocking out a large segment of future buyers no matter how low the interest rates are!
4 The banks won't refinance homes that are under water which is understandable but will lead to more short sales and foreclosures
5 JOBS...people have lost them, got another that doesn't pay as much or are worried about keeping the one they have. These are fence sitters worried about making the 30 year commitment
6 You have fence sitters thinking the market will continue to go down so why be in a hurry to purchase
7 The appraisers are concerned for their jobs and have become very conservative in valuations coming in with low appraisals more than in the past
8 Cash buyers have moved into the market but will not purchase unless it's a screaming deal. Who could blame them.
9 Oh and the shadow inventory that will take years to sift through the market
10 There has been a dangerous paradigm shift in the view of owning a home as an investment and being part of the American dream
But besides these few things its all Rainbows and Sunshine in the real estate market
Keep your fingers crossed for our County!!!!!!!
Bulletstuffer