Author Topic: "The Obama Bear Market" -- a milestone  (Read 385 times)

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Offline Questor

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"The Obama Bear Market" -- a milestone
« on: March 06, 2009, 12:47:10 AM »
Now it is being called the "Obama bear market" by the mainstream financial press. This is a milestone.

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aGJ_.gr_awkY&refer=home
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Offline Questor

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Re: "The Obama Bear Market" -- a milestone
« Reply #1 on: March 06, 2009, 12:57:39 AM »
And then there is this searing indictment of Obama by Steve Forbes in today's Wall Street Journal
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB123630304198047321.html


Here's part of it:

What is most astounding about President Barack Obama's radical economic recovery program isn't its breadth, but its continuation of the most destructive policies of the Bush administration. These Bush policies were in themselves repudiations of Franklin Delano Roosevelt, Mr. Obama's hero.

The most disastrous Bush policy that Mr. Obama is perpetuating is mark-to-market or "fair value" accounting for banks, insurance companies and other financial institutions. The idea seems harmless: Financial institutions should adjust their balance sheets and their capital accounts when the market value of the financial assets they hold goes up or down.

That works when you have very liquid securities, such as Treasurys, or the common stock of IBM or GE. But when the credit crisis hit in 2007, there was no market for subprime securities and other suspect assets. Yet regulators and auditors kept pressing banks and other financial firms to knock down the book value of this paper, even in cases where these obligations were being fully serviced in the payment of principal and interest. Thus, under mark-to-market, even non-suspect assets are being artificially knocked down in value for regulatory capital (the amount of capital required by regulators for industries like banks and life insurance).

Banks and life insurance companies that have positive cash flows now find themselves in a death spiral. Of the more than $700 billion that financial institutions have written off, almost all of it has been book write-downs, not actual cash losses. When banks or insurers write down the value of their assets they have to get new capital. And the need for new capital is a signal to ratings agencies that these outfits might deserve a credit-rating reduction.

So although banks have twice the amount of cash on hand that they did a year ago, they lend only under duress, or apply onerous conditions that would warm Tony Soprano's heart. This is because they know that every time they make a loan or an investment there is a risk of a book write-down, even if the loan is unimpaired.
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Offline Heavy C

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Re: "The Obama Bear Market" -- a milestone
« Reply #2 on: March 06, 2009, 05:15:21 AM »
I've always believed in America's resiliance, but this guy is stacking the odds against us.  It won't be long before America hits back.

Offline Aught Six

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Re: "The Obama Bear Market" -- a milestone
« Reply #3 on: March 06, 2009, 04:39:21 PM »
So far, Hussein is making Jimmy Carter look like a good president.

Offline Questor

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Re: "The Obama Bear Market" -- a milestone
« Reply #4 on: March 06, 2009, 04:57:22 PM »
Aught Six:

Now! Now! Let's not get carried away. But he does seem certain that he will be far, far worse than The Great Dingbat in the long run.
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Offline Cabin4

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Re: "The Obama Bear Market" -- a milestone
« Reply #5 on: March 06, 2009, 05:22:31 PM »
Nixon's moving up in the polls to.
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