I was thinking barrel whip might produce that spike, but that's just a WAG.
Could be, but their 'tech article' on the secondary pressure events they're seeing indicates that they don't think so...
http://www.shootingsoftware.com/barrel.htm However, note that some of their prime evidence that it's
not whip/harmonics is...
"In an attempt to prove this theory one shooter even hung a bowling ball off the end of his barrel..." And...
"Charley Sisk at Sisk Rifles blew the end off two barrels." Hardly scientific 'Proof Positive.'
Their "Catch Up" theory makes the most sense to me if the spikes are indeed caused by elevated pressure. I can see how unburned powder might be blown out of the case and then burn when it's further down the bore. But IMO, how much pressure that could actually create is anyones WAG.
Check out this graph for a .223...
If events like this are not rare (as the authors of the article seem to be claiming), I assume we'd see quite few more unexplained banana-peeled, thin-wall barrels over the years. Since that's not the case, I'm a little sceptical that the data they're recording is actually due to pressure.
On top of that, remember that these spikes are recorded by the strain gage attatched to the
chamber area of the barrel, but they are occurring at a point in time when the bullet is near the muzzle or even after it's out of the bore.
As far as how these pressure spikes (if they're real) could possibly relate to BP cannons, I don't know. The way BP burns is so different than smokeless.
If one were to have a long, fairly thin-walled barrel with an extra long powder chamber, some of the powder might blow out of the chamber and burn in the bore, causing a pressure spike in the thin-wall area. Maybe...