I would think that Russias insight (and experience?) would be accurate. With our mounting debt, they know a time will come when spending will slow almost to a stop. Our liberal foreign aid, military budget, trade, etc will have to be "pulled back to regroup".
Russia experienced their coming apart at the seams a couple of times now, the revolution when they literally left their troops on the western front to get home however they could, and more recently with their disolution. We have in our own history paralleled that somewhat. Our own civil war that was followed by regrowth and the industrial revolution. Yet to happen, but enough money to run our own affairs. Can't set a budget now, one of the most basic requirments of government. Who will continue to loan? We are embroiled in an area that Britain and Russia both have been forced to a stalemate with. The obama doctrine of little action may very well be the problem. Perhaps Russia knows we cannot continue to financially influence the world. Maybe obama should have made progress to adopt a more Jeffersonian philosophy. Some nations may be the sounding board that to deal with the USA means to deal with corruption? Do we not have a corrupt gov't ourselves?
I think we will be monetarily forced to become les involved. I believe Russia see's that. Yes, I do see isolationism coming, I for one would like to see an end of all foreign aid, with the exception of humanitarian aid, earthquake,flood, etc. I for one would also like to see our troops returned to our nation and territories, and not used as the worlds PD.