Singleshotsam, the one factor that you left out of your equation is that obama was an unknown last time around. That is not the case this time. Many of his own supporters from last time do not now like him. I guess those of us without a crystal ball will just have to wait and see.
That's what makes the Romney campaign so pathetic. Running against one of the most wildly unpopular incumbents yet Romney still can't even muster a slight lead in the polls.
And you watch within a couple weeks Romney will nominate some no name generic eletist blue blood as his VP
You onyone but O guys are living in a bigger dream land than the ron Paul guys y'all spend so much time lambasting. There's not enough nose holders, agnostic swing voters and scared indipendents in the world to elect Romney even if they all voted in solidarity. Romney was painfully unelectable last time and nothing's changes since then.
But again the most important factor of all is that TEN X in the $$$ dpt.
And fyi I can post to this topic from anywhere I go. Including my breaks working 10hr shifts as a welder or even from the range.