The Latest YouGov Numbers Look Bad for Obama 7/27/12
The Economist/YouGov conducted a poll from July 21-23, 2012 [
PDF]. You won't see these numbers widely published because they conduct their poll via an online sample -- generally deemed to be less scientific because the sample itself is opt-in.
But nevertheless, we still track what they have to say and we see Obama's approval numbers, according to YouGov, among blacks drop to their lowest level EVER, 64%.
We also see another troubling statistic. Obama's approval rating among the youngest 18-29 year old base is horrible on the issues.
Their approval of Obama is lower than the average for every single issue. He does the worst on:
- social security
- budget deficit
- economy
- immigration
Lastly, Obama's executive order on immigration may not have helped him with Hispanics. He gets just a 40% approval rating on immigration.
His statements on gay rights has been particularly damaging among Hispanics, as they have just a 30% approval rating of him on that topic.
Obama is going to have a tough time getting out the young vote if only 26% of them approve of him.
But keep in mind that this is the reason why this type of poll is worrisome. Most 18-29 year olds are not politically active. The ones that are active enough to OPT-IN to this internet survey may already have an anti-Obama bias coming in.
But we focus on the trend. Not great.
| | Obama's approval rating on the economy among 18-29 year olds. |
Early 2011 [PDF] | Early 2012 [PDF] | Now |
43 | 37 | 26 |
Read more at
http://www.nationalpolls.com/stories/2012/0727-yougov.html#9HZiapbkzsTVrJlS.99